Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.001298 0.001455 0.001612 0.001780 0.001955 0.002130 0.002320
2025-10-26 0.001043 0.001270 0.001503 0.001759 0.002031 0.002309 0.002614
2025-11-02 0.000840 0.001116 0.001409 0.001738 0.002094 0.002464 0.002875
2025-11-09 0.000678 0.000992 0.001335 0.001728 0.002161 0.002616 0.003127
2025-11-16 0.000549 0.000890 0.001276 0.001727 0.002231 0.002767 0.003373
2025-11-23 0.000441 0.000803 0.001225 0.001729 0.002299 0.002911 0.003609
2025-11-30 0.000383 0.000769 0.001231 0.001791 0.002431 0.003122 0.003915
2025-12-07 0.000300 0.000694 0.001182 0.001785 0.002483 0.003243 0.004119
2025-12-14 0.000216 0.000605 0.001111 0.001749 0.002496 0.003318 0.004270
2025-12-21 0.000173 0.000568 0.001100 0.001782 0.002587 0.003476 0.004511
2025-12-28 0.000113 0.000496 0.001039 0.001750 0.002599 0.003545 0.004651
2026-01-04 0.000082 0.000462 0.001025 0.001774 0.002674 0.003682 0.004865
2026-01-11 0.000034 0.000388 0.000966 0.001759 0.002725 0.003816 0.005102
2026-01-18 0.000004 0.000318 0.000908 0.001742 0.002774 0.003948 0.005341
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000255 0.000851 0.001724 0.002821 0.004078 0.005577
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000202 0.000804 0.001716 0.002877 0.004219 0.005825
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000159 0.000765 0.001716 0.002942 0.004368 0.006081
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000123 0.000730 0.001718 0.003008 0.004516 0.006336
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000111 0.000740 0.001781 0.003148 0.004751 0.006688
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000079 0.000702 0.001775 0.003201 0.004882 0.006921
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000045 0.000646 0.001739 0.003214 0.004965 0.007096
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000033 0.000638 0.001772 0.003313 0.005147 0.007385
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000012 0.000589 0.001740 0.003327 0.005229 0.007556